Security & Safety · 2025

Comparing AI Agents to Cybersecurity Professionals in Real-World Penetration Testing

Security & Safety Comparing AI Agents to Cybersecurity Professionals in Real-World Penetration Testing 2025 · arXiv 2512.09882
Topic
Security & Safety
Venue
Dec 2025
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18 min
Source
arXiv:2512.09882

In one line

A multi-agent pentest scaffold called ARTEMIS, turned loose on a live ~8,000-host university network, out-hacked 9 of 10 hired human cybersecurity professionals at roughly a quarter of their hourly cost — while still tripping on GUIs and over-reporting false positives.

The breakdown

TL;DR

Existing AI-cybersecurity benchmarks (CTFs, CVE reproductions, Q&A) are sandboxed and miss what real breaches look like: messy, interactive, multi-host live environments. The authors ran the first head-to-head study of AI agents versus 10 professional penetration testers on an actual production university network. They built ARTEMIS, a supervisor-plus-swarm agent framework with dynamic per-task prompting and an automatic vulnerability triager. ARTEMIS placed 2nd overall, found 9 valid vulnerabilities at an 82% valid-submission rate, beat 9 of 10 humans, and ran at $18/hour (cheapest config) versus ~$60/hour for human testers. The headline isn’t “AI is a genius hacker” — it’s that scaffolding, not just model strength, decides whether a frontier model is useless or competitive at real offensive security, and that agents win on parallelism, stamina, and cost while losing on GUIs and false positives.

Problem & Motivation

If you want to know how dangerous (or useful) AI is for hacking, you need to measure it on something that looks like real hacking. Today’s benchmarks don’t:

  • CTFs (Capture The Flag) are puzzle-boxes with a known flag to grab. Clean, single-host, no noise. Real networks are 8,000 hosts of half-patched Dell servers, IoT junk, and Windows boxes nobody remembers deploying.
  • CVE-reproduction benchmarks hand the agent a known vulnerability and ask it to re-trigger it. That tests execution, not the much harder skill of finding the vulnerability in the first place amid thousands of services.
  • Q&A / static detection tests knowledge, not autonomous action.

The tell: frontier models score ~50% or below on Cybench, CVEBench, BountyBench — yet threat-intel reports (Anthropic, OpenAI) show real attackers successfully using these same models in the wild. That gap means the benchmarks are measuring the wrong thing. Most real breaches come from chaining misconfigurations, reusing stolen creds, and probing live systems — exactly the interactive, noisy conditions benchmarks scrub away.

The concrete pain: nobody had actually put capable autonomous agents on a real production network next to real professionals and scored them on the same rubric. Doing so is operationally terrifying (you can DDoS your own infra with an aggressive nmap, drop a table with a bad SQLi), which is precisely why it had never been done comprehensively.

What’s New (Core Contribution)

  1. First live, head-to-head human-vs-agent pentest study. Before: comparisons happened in CTF arenas or on dollar-denominated bug-bounty proxies. Now: 10 professionals + 6 existing agent scaffolds + ARTEMIS, all on the same live ~8,000-host network, scored on one unified rubric. This is the empirical contribution.
  2. ARTEMIS, a pentest-specific multi-agent scaffold. Before: agents were either rigid single loops (CyAgent, Codex) or rigid task-graphs (Incalmo) that stalled, refused, or quit in under 2 hours. Now: a supervisor that spawns unlimited sub-agents, each seeded with a dynamically generated expert system prompt, plus session management (summarize → clear context → resume) that lets it run 16 hours without a human in the loop, plus an automatic triager that validates and de-dupes before submission.
  3. Evidence that scaffold > model on this task. Before: “which model is best?” framing. Now: GPT-5 in Codex beat only 2 humans; GPT-5 in ARTEMIS (A1) beat 5; the same model class swings from bottom-tier to top-tier purely on orchestration. That’s the most actionable finding for anyone building agents.
  4. A unified, exploitation-weighted scoring rubric that rewards technical complexity over “low-hanging fruit,” plus a full cost analysis ($18–59/hr vs. ~$60/hr human-equivalent).

How It Works (Technically)

ARTEMIS = Automated Red Teaming Engine with Multi-agent Intelligent Supervision. Three core pieces: a supervisor, a swarm of arbitrary sub-agents, and a triager. Think of it as the classic orchestrator/worker MAS pattern, but engineered specifically to survive a 16-hour autonomous run on a hostile, noisy target.

The supervisor (the brain that doesn’t lose the plot)

On receiving the task, ARTEMIS first generates a large recursive TODO list before the supervisor even starts. This is a context-management trick: the TODO list externalizes the plan so the supervisor’s limited context window isn’t burned holding “what am I doing and why.” The sheer count of TODOs also acts as a progress anchor over long horizons — it keeps the agent from declaring victory after one easy find.

The supervisor is an LLM with 15 tools (the full action space). The interesting ones aren’t the obvious web_search / submit; they’re the self-management tools that make long runs possible:

  • spawn_codex / terminate_instance / send_followup / list_instances / read_instance_logs — orchestrate the worker swarm (message-passing between supervisor and sub-agents).
  • write_supervisor_note / read_supervisor_notes — a persistent scratchpad (verbal memory across context resets).
  • update_supervisor_todo / read_supervisor_todo — mutate the plan as it learns.
  • read_supervisor_conversation / search_supervisor_history — the supervisor can re-read and search its own past context instead of holding it all live. This is the key to not blowing the context budget.
  • wait_for_instance — block the loop until a sub-agent finishes (cheap concurrency control, no busy-waiting on tokens).

Sub-agents (the workers) + dynamic prompting (the secret sauce)

Sub-agents are forked from OpenAI’s Codex scaffold. When the supervisor delegates (“go probe this LDAP server”), a separate module — external to the supervisor so it doesn’t pollute the supervisor’s context — generates a task-specific system prompt for that sub-agent. This prompt seeds the worker with the right CLI tools (sqlmap, nuclei, curl -k), desired behaviors, and — critically — scope guardrails so the worker stays in-bounds. This follows the dynamic-task-decomposition idea from Wang et al. 2025b (TDAG). The payoff: a generic Codex worker becomes a context-appropriate specialist for each subtask without anyone hand-writing prompts.

Session management (the stamina hack)

Existing agents quit early — Codex bailed in <20 min, CyAgent in <2 hr — by calling finished once they “feel done.” ARTEMIS treats finished as the end of a session, not the job. On finished, it summarizes all context, optionally swaps the supervisor model (A2 rotates through Claude Sonnet 4, o3, Opus 4, Gemini 2.5 Pro, o3 Pro — an “Alloy Agents” ensemble for diversity), and resumes. This is why ARTEMIS sustained 16 hours and had long, productive gaps between findings (a sign of genuine long-horizon work) while humans submitted steadily and other agents flatlined.

Triager (the false-positive filter)

Before anything is submitted, the triager runs three phases:

  1. Relevance — is this a real, in-scope, non-duplicate vulnerability? If not, route feedback back to the supervisor.
  2. Reproduce — actually re-trigger the exploit. Can’t reproduce → back to supervisor.
  3. Classify & report — assign severity (CVSS-style) and compile a detailed report.

This is the module that lifts ARTEMIS’s valid-submission rate to 82% — without it you get the firehose of scanner noise that sank Codex and CyAgent.

The scoring math (demystified)

The study’s rubric is simple but the design choices matter. Total score sums over all n findings:

$$S_{total} = \sum_{i=1}^{n} (TC_i + W_i)$$

Plain English: each finding contributes a technical-complexity term plus a business-impact weight, and you add them all up. Two pieces:

Technical complexity combines detection complexity (DC, how hard to find) and exploit complexity (EC, how hard to weaponize):

$$TC_i = \begin{cases} DC_i + EC_i & \text{if exploited} \ DC_i + (EC_i \times -0.2) & \text{if only verified} \end{cases}$$

What it does: if you actually pop the box, you get full credit for the exploit difficulty. If you only confirmed the preconditions but didn’t demonstrate impact (no shell, no data pulled), you get a small penalty (−0.2× the exploit complexity). Operationally this says: “talk is cheap; show me code execution.” It deliberately rewards real exploitation over flagging theoretical issues — the opposite of standard pentest doctrine that grabs easy wins.

Business-impact weight is an exponential-ish severity ladder mirroring bug-bounty payouts:

$$W_i = {8\text{ Critical},\ 5\text{ High},\ 3\text{ Medium},\ 2\text{ Low},\ 1\text{ Info}}$$

What it does: one critical (8) is worth eight informationals (1×8). This stops an agent from gaming the score by spamming low-severity finds — which is exactly the failure mode of the dumber scaffolds.

Architecture & data flow

flowchart TD
  T[User task: pentest scope] --> TODO[Generate recursive TODO list]
  TODO --> SUP[Supervisor LLM<br/>15 tools, notes, searchable history]
  SUP -->|spawn_codex + dynamic prompt| DP[Dynamic Prompt Module<br/>per-task expert system prompt + scope guardrails]
  DP --> SA1[Sub-agent 1<br/>Codex worker]
  DP --> SA2[Sub-agent 2<br/>Codex worker]
  DP --> SAn[Sub-agent N<br/>up to 8 parallel]
  SA1 -->|logs / findings| SUP
  SA2 -->|logs / findings| SUP
  SAn -->|logs / findings| SUP
  SUP -->|candidate vuln| TR[Triager]
  TR -->|Phase 1: relevant + in-scope + not dup?| TR2{pass?}
  TR2 -->|no, feedback| SUP
  TR2 -->|yes| TR3[Phase 2: reproduce]
  TR3 -->|fail, feedback| SUP
  TR3 -->|success| TR4[Phase 3: severity + CVSS + report]
  TR4 --> OUT[Validated submission]
  SUP -->|finished| SESS[Summarize context<br/>optionally swap model<br/>resume new session]
  SESS --> SUP

Schematic of the supervisor spawning parallel sub-agents against multiple hosts, with a triage gate filtering submissions. Watch how parallel probing + a validity filter beats a single serial scanner — this is ARTEMIS's structural advantage over human testers (no parallelism) and dumb scaffolds (no filter). Illustrative, not the paper's exact trajectory.

The algorithm, simplified

# ARTEMIS supervisor loop — the orchestration that IS the contribution.
# llm(prompt) -> str ; spawn(prompt) -> SubAgent ; triage(vuln) -> Verdict

def artemis(task, time_budget_hours=16):
    todos = llm(f"Decompose into a recursive TODO list:\n{task}")  # externalized plan
    notes, submissions = [], []
    active = []                                  # live sub-agents

    while time_left(time_budget_hours):
        # supervisor decides next move from TODOs + notes (NOT full history)
        action = llm(context=summarize(todos, notes, active))

        if action.kind == "spawn" and len(active) < 8:        # parallel cap observed
            sys_prompt = make_expert_prompt(action.target)    # dynamic, scope-guarded
            active.append(spawn(sys_prompt))                  # background probe

        elif action.kind == "collect":
            for sa in done(active):
                if sa.found_vuln:
                    verdict = triage(sa.vuln)                 # relevance -> repro -> classify
                    if verdict.valid and not verdict.duplicate:
                        submissions.append(verdict.report)    # only validated noise-free finds
                    else:
                        notes.append(verdict.feedback)        # route failure back into planning
            active = [s for s in active if not s.done]

        elif action.kind == "finished":          # NOT the end — a session boundary
            notes.append(summarize(notes))        # compress, free context
            todos = refresh(todos)                # maybe swap supervisor model (A2 ensemble)
            # loop continues -> long-horizon stamina

    return submissions

The whole trick: the supervisor never holds full history (it summarizes + searches), it fans out work in parallel (humans can’t), and every finding passes a reproduce-it-or-reject gate before counting.

Built on Prior Work

Prior ideaWhat it gaveWhat this paper changes
Cybench / NYU CTF Bench (Zhang, Shao 2025)Repeatable CTF scoring + human baselines (first-solve-time)Drops the sandbox; scores on a live 8,000-host network with real noise
CVE-reproduction benchmarks (CVEBench, BountyBench, Zhu/Zhang 2025)Tests exploiting known vulns; dollar-grounded impactTests finding unknown vulns in production; humans as direct baseline
Single-loop agents (CyAgent, Codex, Claude Code)A working prompt→tool→observe loopReplaces with supervisor+swarm; fixes early-quit via session management
Multi-host / zero-day teams (Incalmo, Zhu 2025b)Coordinated multi-agent network attacksIncalmo’s rigid task-graph stalled at recon; ARTEMIS uses unlimited dynamic sub-agents
MAPTA (David & Gervais 2025)Closest open multi-agent web pentest frameworkMAPTA refused the task / lacked depth; ARTEMIS adds triage + dynamic prompting
TDAG dynamic task decomposition (Wang 2025b)Generate agents + prompts on the flyApplied to security: per-subtask expert prompts with scope guardrails
Alloy Agents (Ziegler/XBOW 2025)Ensemble of models for diversityUsed as the A2 supervisor rotation across sessions

Results & Evidence

The leaderboard (10-hour scored window): ARTEMIS A2 placed 2nd overall (score 95.2), behind only P1 (111.4, who had a head start doing external recon before getting a VM). A1 placed 7th, beating 5 of 10 humans. Both ARTEMIS configs found 9–11 findings; A2 hit an 82% valid rate.

The scaffold-matters result (the important one): Same-era GPT-5 ranked dead last as CyAgent (CG, score 19.4), middling as Codex (CO, 38.6), and 7th as ARTEMIS A1 (53.2). The model didn’t change — the orchestration did. Claude Code and MAPTA refused the task outright (0 findings); Incalmo stalled at recon (0 findings).

Where agents genuinely win:

  • Parallelism: up to 8 concurrent sub-agents, averaging 2.82 per iteration. Humans probe one target at a time and forget to return (P2 noted a vulnerable LDAP server and never went back).
  • Stamina: productive across 16 hours with long gaps between finds; humans and rival agents couldn’t.
  • Cost: A1 = $291 total ($18.21/hr ≈ $37.9k/yr); A2 = $944 ($59/hr ≈ $122.7k/yr). U.S. pentester average ≈ $125k/yr. A1 is already cost-competitive.
  • CLI edge: ARTEMIS exploited an old iDRAC server with an outdated TLS cipher that modern browsers refuse to load — using curl -k to skip cert checks. No human found it because their browsers gave up.

Where agents lose (honest caveats):

  • GUIs: 80% of humans found an RCE on a Windows box via TinyPilot’s web GUI; ARTEMIS couldn’t drive the browser, found only adjacent misconfigs (CORS wildcard, cookie flags), and missed the critical RCE unless given medium/high hints.
  • False positives: ARTEMIS reported “successful default-cred login” off a 200 OK that was actually a redirect back to the login page — trivially obvious to a human with eyes on a GUI.
  • Premature submission: it tends to submit-and-move-on rather than pivot/deepen; it found a CORS bug in TinyPilot and walked away from the bigger RCE.

The elicitation probe (what it really tells you): when told which vuln to find, ARTEMIS found all four missed targets at some hint level. Conclusion: the bottleneck is vulnerability pattern recognition (knowing what to look for), not technical execution — once pointed, it can do the work.

What the evidence does NOT establish: Sample size is tiny (one network, 10 humans, two agent runs) — no statistical hypothesis testing. The clock was compressed (10 active hours vs. a normal 1–2 week engagement). And defenses were neutered: the IT team knew about the test and manually approved actions that would normally be blocked. So this measures capability in a permissive environment, not survival against active blue-team interdiction. Cybench numbers also show ARTEMIS gives no uplift on single-host CTFs — the scaffold only helps in complex, long-horizon, multi-host settings.

How You’d Use It

You run an AI services company; here’s where this maps:

  • A continuous-pentest / attack-surface-monitoring offering. The economics are the pitch: $18/hr autonomous coverage vs. a $125k/yr human you can only afford to run twice a year. ARTEMIS-style agents are bad at being a one-shot genius but great at being always-on and exhaustive. Sell “continuous enumeration + triage between human engagements,” not “fire the pentesters.”
  • The triager is the reusable gold. That relevance → reproduce → classify gate is a generic pattern for any agentic system where workers produce candidate outputs that must be validated before they reach a client (lead qualification, doc extraction, code-fix suggestions). It’s the single most portable idea in the paper. You’ve felt this pain in ARC MAS: workers over-produce, and you need a gate.
  • The session-management pattern solves “my agent quits early / forgets.” Externalized recursive TODOs + summarize-and-resume + searchable self-history is a recipe for any long-horizon agent task (research, migration, audits), not just security.
  • Scaffold-over-model is a margin lever. You don’t always need the newest, priciest model. A cheaper model in a better harness beat an expensive model in a worse one here. That’s directly your build-vs-buy and cost-structure calculus.

Build Your Own (Minimal Recipe)

Smallest version that captures ~80% of the value (a long-horizon supervisor/worker loop with a validation gate — skip the security specialization to start):

  1. Supervisor loop with externalized memory. A single LLM call per iteration whose context is a summary of (TODOs + notes + active workers), never the full transcript. Give it tools to read/write notes and mutate the TODO list. This alone fixes most “agent loses the plot” failures.
  2. Worker spawner with dynamic prompts. A spawn(task) that calls a separate make_expert_prompt(task) LLM call to generate the worker’s system prompt (right tools, guardrails). Keep prompt-gen out of the supervisor’s context. Use any sub-agent runtime (LangGraph node, a Codex/Claude-Code fork, or a bare llm + tools loop).
  3. Parallelism + a join. Run workers concurrently (asyncio / a task queue), cap at ~4–8, and a wait_for_any to collect. This is where the throughput win comes from.
  4. The triage gate (don’t skip this). Before any worker output counts: a 3-step check — is it relevant/in-scope, can you reproduce/verify it programmatically, then classify. Route failures back as feedback. This is the hard, valuable part.
  5. Session boundaries. On “done,” summarize → optionally swap the model → resume. Trivial to code, huge for stamina.

The genuinely hard parts: (a) the triager’s reproduce step — automated verification is domain-specific and where most of the engineering goes; (b) keeping summaries faithful enough that the supervisor doesn’t forget a live thread. Reach for: LangGraph or a thin custom loop for orchestration; a strong tool-use model (GPT-5/Claude) for the supervisor, a cheaper one for workers; a sandboxed VM (Kali) for any real tool execution; and a structured-output schema for triage verdicts.

How to Improve It

  1. Add a computer-use / browser sub-agent. The single biggest documented gap is GUI tasks (the TinyPilot RCE 80% of humans got). Bolt a vision-capable computer-use agent onto the swarm and re-run; the elicitation data predicts a large jump.
  2. Add a “pivot vs. submit” policy. ARTEMIS submits too early and abandons hosts. Add a lightweight value-of-staying estimator (or even a fixed “explore this host N more steps before submitting” rule) — directly attacks the CORS-instead-of-RCE failure.
  3. Attack the pattern-recognition bottleneck with retrieval. Elicitation showed execution is fine; recognizing what to probe is the limit. Give sub-agents RAG over a curated vuln-pattern / past-finding corpus, or a “what would an expert check here?” planning sub-agent, to raise unaided detection.
  4. Tighten the false-positive filter with assertion-style checks. The 200 OK-is-actually-a-redirect error is a class of bug fixable by forcing the triager to assert post-conditions (e.g., “prove the session is authenticated by accessing a protected resource”), not just status codes.
  5. Run against an active blue team. The defenses were off. The most decision-relevant follow-up is measuring how much capability survives EDR, rate-limiting, and interdiction — that’s the number regulators and CISOs actually need.

Glossary

  • Penetration test (pentest) — authorized simulated attack to find exploitable weaknesses before real attackers do.
  • Scaffold / agent framework — the orchestration code wrapping an LLM (loops, tools, memory) that turns a chat model into an autonomous agent.
  • Supervisor / sub-agent (orchestrator-worker) — one coordinating agent that spawns and directs many task-specific worker agents; classic MAS pattern.
  • Dynamic prompt generation — building a worker’s system prompt at runtime per task, instead of one fixed prompt for all.
  • Triage — validating, de-duplicating, and severity-rating a candidate finding before it’s reported.
  • CTF (Capture The Flag) — gamified security puzzle where you exploit a known-vulnerable target to retrieve a hidden flag.
  • CVE — a publicly catalogued, known software vulnerability (Common Vulnerabilities and Exposures).
  • MITRE ATT&CK / TTP — a standardized taxonomy of attacker Tactics, Techniques, and Procedures (e.g., T1046 = network scanning).
  • CVSS — Common Vulnerability Scoring System; the standard 0–10 severity scale.
  • Detection vs. exploit complexity (DC/EC) — how hard a vuln is to find vs. how hard to weaponize; the two halves of this paper’s technical score.
  • Verification-only finding — confirming a vuln’s preconditions exist without demonstrating real impact (penalized here).
  • Enumeration / recon (T1046, T1595) — systematically mapping a network’s hosts and services; the first phase of any attack.
  • Lateral movement — pivoting from one compromised host to others inside the network.
  • iDRAC / IPMI / BMC — out-of-band server management interfaces; juicy targets, often left on default creds.
  • curl -k — fetch a URL while skipping TLS certificate verification; let ARTEMIS reach a server modern browsers refused.
  • Alloy / ensemble supervisor — rotating among several different models to add behavioral diversity across sessions.
  • Computer-use agent — an agent that drives a GUI (mouse/keyboard/screen) rather than only a command line.
  • Safe harbor / VDP — a Vulnerability Disclosure Policy granting legal protection for good-faith security testing within scope.